Predict my IM Aus time

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Predict my IM Aus result

DNS
0
No votes
<15h
9
53%
15hxx
1
6%
16hxx
1
6%
DNF
6
35%
 
Total votes: 17

Mark.AU
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Predict my IM Aus time

Postby Mark.AU » Mon Apr 27, 2015 6:51 am

Just for fun; as anyone following my journal knows, I haven't really put in much more than a month's training for this IM.

The race is on this coming Sunday.

In the interest of full disclosure, I am going to try to finish, but if I'm not on the same lap as my friend (who has trained) when he is on his last run lap (of four) I'll probably take a DNF to cross the finish line with him.

If you're feeling really brave, and think it's applicable, predict a finish time - closest to actual gets a prize. :lol:
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Habs4ever
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Re: Predict my IM Aus time

Postby Habs4ever » Mon Apr 27, 2015 10:16 am

I'll play.
I'm going to say 14:23.
And the prize better be a trip to Australia or I'm changing my vote to DNF.
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CinC
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Re: Predict my IM Aus time

Postby CinC » Mon Apr 27, 2015 12:11 pm

swim 1:22
t1 5 min
bike 6:20
t2 5 min
run 5:49 (and I say you will be stubborn enough to finish it regardless of where your friend is on the course)
13:41 +- 30 min - so 13:11 to 14:09
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runJrun
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Re: Predict my IM Aus time

Postby runJrun » Mon Apr 27, 2015 4:50 pm

I'm guessing around 14:04 :)
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Jo-Jo
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Re: Predict my IM Aus time

Postby Jo-Jo » Mon Apr 27, 2015 7:39 pm

13:58
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Re: Predict my IM Aus time

Postby turd ferguson » Tue Apr 28, 2015 1:04 pm

Are we betting? I'll take the under.
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Jwolf
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Re: Predict my IM Aus time

Postby Jwolf » Tue Apr 28, 2015 3:42 pm

I am going to predict 14:51.

But I do think you should aim to finish what you started, especially since all of us are guessing your times. :twisted:
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Mark.AU
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Re: Predict my IM Aus time

Postby Mark.AU » Wed Apr 29, 2015 5:12 pm

Update;

Race day weather is going to be wet and potentially windy. The wind will be in our faces on the way out and following coming back on bike.

My friend is under-trained on the bike and expecting to ride about the same as I am - around 7h. His longest ride is only 125km - I reckon he's going to be slower than I am expecting to be and we may end up running together. He's a little injured too, with a calf strain. Running might be an issue for him.

I feel great.

My bike is all tuned up and has a shiny new rear tire. I have found some Vittoria Pit Stop and am now not worried about dealing with flats. I may buy some new running shoes for the race - it's a tradition.

I am impressed at the collective - majority - optimism expressed here on my finishing <15h.

My bib number is 967.

Susan, the prize includes an invitation to Australia ;)

We are heading up to race site today. It's a 5h drive, and it's wet.
“We are what we think. / All that we are arises with our thoughts. / With our thoughts we make the world.” Dhammapada,

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Jo-Jo
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Re: Predict my IM Aus time

Postby Jo-Jo » Wed Apr 29, 2015 7:29 pm

Mark.AU wrote:Update;

Susan, the prize includes an invitation to Australia ;)




Cool...there could be a bit of a Hoopla....La and I will be there. Just think Susan...a meeting of the Mark.AU fan club in September 2016...just a thought. :D

Sure hope your buddy can make it through the run. And sure hope my package gets there...I don't have tracking on it because it was going to be really expensive.

Starting to send awesome vibes (((Mark and Jim)))
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La
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Re: Predict my IM Aus time

Postby La » Thu Apr 30, 2015 10:19 am

You're a stubborn b@stard, so I don't see you with a DNF, regardless of where your friend is. The only x-factor will be if you and your friend are relatively close and decide to run together, you may have a longer than planned marathon so that you can finish together.
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IronGoddess
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Re: Predict my IM Aus time

Postby IronGoddess » Thu Apr 30, 2015 11:00 am

Have fun. I am excited for you and your friend.


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IMC 2015

Mark.AU
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Re: Predict my IM Aus time

Postby Mark.AU » Fri May 01, 2015 1:50 am

Race day is forecast to be 24C, cloudy, anything between 60-90% chance of rain and 15km/hr winds. I'll take that, especially if the rain stays away for the middle of the day while we're riding.

My bib is 967, my mate's is 1339.

We are planning to start later in the rolling start so I reckon I'll be in the water at something like 4:45pm EST Saturday - 6:45am Sunday, local.
“We are what we think. / All that we are arises with our thoughts. / With our thoughts we make the world.” Dhammapada,

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La
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Re: Predict my IM Aus time

Postby La » Fri May 01, 2015 10:47 am

As posted in Mark's training thread:
La wrote:
Mark.AU wrote:My bib is 967, my mate's is 1339. I'm planning to start later in the rolling start so I reckon I'll be in the water at something like 4:45pm EST Saturday - 6:45am Sunday, local.

Here's the link to the Athlete Tracker for Saturday/Sunday:
http://www.ironman.com/triathlon/covera ... z3YtunmRV2

ETA: Cool that you're racing as a Canadian! :D
Last edited by La on Sat May 02, 2015 5:36 pm, edited 1 time in total.
"Maybe I will be my own inspiration." - UltraMonk (Laura)
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Habs4ever
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Re: Predict my IM Aus time

Postby Habs4ever » Sat May 02, 2015 4:56 pm

La wrote:As posted in Mark's training thread:
La wrote:
Mark.AU wrote:My bib is 937, my mate's is 1339. I'm planning to start later in the rolling start so I reckon I'll be in the water at something like 4:45pm EST Saturday - 6:45am Sunday, local.

Here's the link to the Athlete Tracker for Saturday/Sunday:
http://www.ironman.com/triathlon/covera ... z3YtunmRV2

ETA: Cool that you're racing as a Canadian! :D

Just thought I'd post here as well as his journal that Mark's bib # is 967.

I wonder if one of us oredicits bib 937's time correctly if we win the prize too.
I wanna live like there's no tomorrow
Love, like I'm on borrowed time
It's good to be alive, yeah....Jason Gray

Running is a conversation with your body. Sometimes you listen and sometimes you tell it to stop whining and do something. - Ian

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Habs4ever
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Re: Predict my IM Aus time

Postby Habs4ever » Sat May 02, 2015 5:16 pm

Mark is out of the water-1:12:50
James is out 1:05:54 and through transition 1.
I wanna live like there's no tomorrow
Love, like I'm on borrowed time
It's good to be alive, yeah....Jason Gray

Running is a conversation with your body. Sometimes you listen and sometimes you tell it to stop whining and do something. - Ian

CinC
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Re: Predict my IM Aus time

Postby CinC » Sat May 02, 2015 5:21 pm

From Twitter it's saying good condition - little to no wind.
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La
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Re: Predict my IM Aus time

Postby La » Sat May 02, 2015 5:31 pm

Habs4ever wrote:Mark is out of the water-1:12:50

Though not what he's capable of, pretty good for no training.
"Maybe I will be my own inspiration." - UltraMonk (Laura)
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La
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Re: Predict my IM Aus time

Postby La » Sat May 02, 2015 5:33 pm

Through T1 in 7:12.
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La
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Re: Predict my IM Aus time

Postby La » Sat May 02, 2015 5:34 pm

When Carla did IMWA a few years ago I remember getting up at 5AM Sunday morning to watch her cross the finish line. I like Mark and all, but I won't be doing that this time. :lol:
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La
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Re: Predict my IM Aus time

Postby La » Sat May 02, 2015 7:23 pm

The Athlete Tracker is predicting a 7:30 bike split. He's through 57K on the bike. Next split is at 90K.
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Spirit Unleashed
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Re: Predict my IM Aus time

Postby Spirit Unleashed » Sat May 02, 2015 8:31 pm

psa

90km in 4:30 race time.
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Re: Predict my IM Aus time

Postby CinC » Sun May 03, 2015 12:01 am

Heading to bed - hope you get through it! :-)
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Mark.AU
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Re: Predict my IM Aus time

Postby Mark.AU » Sun May 03, 2015 6:25 am

Made it to 10k on the run but cramping in my neck, back, calves, quads and hamstrings had me to a walk with no real expectation of improvement. It started raining and I got cold; I didn't want to walk for 6hrs to get a medal I really didn't care about.

I'm shattered; the swim was better than expected, the bike also, and I was able to run off the bike. However, there's a reason we train for six months for IM, and that's to build muscular endurance. I didn't have enough and although I'm satisfied that I could certainly have finished on my month's worth of training, it didn't matter enough for me to go through with it.

I'll put more in my journal latter, but for now I'm as wasted as I was when I finished my other IM's, and I need to lie down.
“We are what we think. / All that we are arises with our thoughts. / With our thoughts we make the world.” Dhammapada,

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Spirit Unleashed
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Re: Predict my IM Aus time

Postby Spirit Unleashed » Sun May 03, 2015 8:55 am

Mark.AU wrote:Made it to 10k on the run but cramping in my neck, back, calves, quads and hamstrings had me to a walk with no real expectation of improvement. It started raining and I got cold; I didn't want to walk for 6hrs to get a medal I really didn't care about.

I'm shattered; the swim was better than expected, the bike also, and I was able to run off the bike. However, there's a reason we train for six months for IM, and that's to build muscular endurance. I didn't have enough and although I'm satisfied that I could certainly have finished on my month's worth of training, it didn't matter enough for me to go through with it.

I'll put more in my journal latter, but for now I'm as wasted as I was when I finished my other IM's, and I need to lie down.

good job Mark.
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Live the most amazing life you can live - La
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eme
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Re: Predict my IM Aus time

Postby eme » Sun May 03, 2015 9:02 am

Rest up. Sorry that you didn't get a more positive ending to your race.


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