Predict my IM Aus time
Predict my IM Aus time
Just for fun; as anyone following my journal knows, I haven't really put in much more than a month's training for this IM.
The race is on this coming Sunday.
In the interest of full disclosure, I am going to try to finish, but if I'm not on the same lap as my friend (who has trained) when he is on his last run lap (of four) I'll probably take a DNF to cross the finish line with him.
If you're feeling really brave, and think it's applicable, predict a finish time - closest to actual gets a prize.
The race is on this coming Sunday.
In the interest of full disclosure, I am going to try to finish, but if I'm not on the same lap as my friend (who has trained) when he is on his last run lap (of four) I'll probably take a DNF to cross the finish line with him.
If you're feeling really brave, and think it's applicable, predict a finish time - closest to actual gets a prize.
“We are what we think. / All that we are arises with our thoughts. / With our thoughts we make the world.” Dhammapada,
Re: Predict my IM Aus time
I'll play.
I'm going to say 14:23.
And the prize better be a trip to Australia or I'm changing my vote to DNF.
I'm going to say 14:23.
And the prize better be a trip to Australia or I'm changing my vote to DNF.
I wanna live like there's no tomorrow
Love, like I'm on borrowed time
It's good to be alive, yeah....Jason Gray
Running is a conversation with your body. Sometimes you listen and sometimes you tell it to stop whining and do something. - Ian
Love, like I'm on borrowed time
It's good to be alive, yeah....Jason Gray
Running is a conversation with your body. Sometimes you listen and sometimes you tell it to stop whining and do something. - Ian
Re: Predict my IM Aus time
swim 1:22
t1 5 min
bike 6:20
t2 5 min
run 5:49 (and I say you will be stubborn enough to finish it regardless of where your friend is on the course)
13:41 +- 30 min - so 13:11 to 14:09
t1 5 min
bike 6:20
t2 5 min
run 5:49 (and I say you will be stubborn enough to finish it regardless of where your friend is on the course)
13:41 +- 30 min - so 13:11 to 14:09
Race Hard. Race Happy.
Re: Predict my IM Aus time
I'm guessing around 14:04
Jocelyn
I run because it's my passion, and not just a sport. Every time I walk out the door, I know why I'm going where I'm going and I'm already focused on that special place where I find my peace and solitude. Running, to me, is more than just a physical exercise...it's a consistent reward for victory!
- Sasha Azevedo
I run because it's my passion, and not just a sport. Every time I walk out the door, I know why I'm going where I'm going and I'm already focused on that special place where I find my peace and solitude. Running, to me, is more than just a physical exercise...it's a consistent reward for victory!
- Sasha Azevedo
Re: Predict my IM Aus time
13:58
Technophobe Extraordinaire
"Princess" J0-JO...The Awesome Running Machine.
"a precious, unique and quirky individual"...definition given by a Toronto Cop
An Ever Loyal and Devoted Official Doonst Fan.
"In the midst of winter, I finally learned that there was in me an invincible summer" -Albert Camus
"Keep Going. Never Give Up." Spencer
"Princess" J0-JO...The Awesome Running Machine.
"a precious, unique and quirky individual"...definition given by a Toronto Cop
An Ever Loyal and Devoted Official Doonst Fan.
"In the midst of winter, I finally learned that there was in me an invincible summer" -Albert Camus
"Keep Going. Never Give Up." Spencer
- turd ferguson
- Ben Johnson
- Posts: 28512
- Joined: Tue Nov 29, 2005 12:11 am
- Location: It's a funny name
- Contact:
Re: Predict my IM Aus time
Are we betting? I'll take the under.
"Human beings, who are almost unique in having the ability to learn from the experience of others, are also remarkable for their apparent disinclination to do so." - Douglas Adams
Re: Predict my IM Aus time
I am going to predict 14:51.
But I do think you should aim to finish what you started, especially since all of us are guessing your times.
But I do think you should aim to finish what you started, especially since all of us are guessing your times.
Support me in my fundraising for the Boston Marathon, Boston Public Library team:
https://www.crowdrise.com/o/en/campaign ... iferwolf11
https://www.crowdrise.com/o/en/campaign ... iferwolf11
Re: Predict my IM Aus time
Update;
Race day weather is going to be wet and potentially windy. The wind will be in our faces on the way out and following coming back on bike.
My friend is under-trained on the bike and expecting to ride about the same as I am - around 7h. His longest ride is only 125km - I reckon he's going to be slower than I am expecting to be and we may end up running together. He's a little injured too, with a calf strain. Running might be an issue for him.
I feel great.
My bike is all tuned up and has a shiny new rear tire. I have found some Vittoria Pit Stop and am now not worried about dealing with flats. I may buy some new running shoes for the race - it's a tradition.
I am impressed at the collective - majority - optimism expressed here on my finishing <15h.
My bib number is 967.
Susan, the prize includes an invitation to Australia
We are heading up to race site today. It's a 5h drive, and it's wet.
Race day weather is going to be wet and potentially windy. The wind will be in our faces on the way out and following coming back on bike.
My friend is under-trained on the bike and expecting to ride about the same as I am - around 7h. His longest ride is only 125km - I reckon he's going to be slower than I am expecting to be and we may end up running together. He's a little injured too, with a calf strain. Running might be an issue for him.
I feel great.
My bike is all tuned up and has a shiny new rear tire. I have found some Vittoria Pit Stop and am now not worried about dealing with flats. I may buy some new running shoes for the race - it's a tradition.
I am impressed at the collective - majority - optimism expressed here on my finishing <15h.
My bib number is 967.
Susan, the prize includes an invitation to Australia
We are heading up to race site today. It's a 5h drive, and it's wet.
“We are what we think. / All that we are arises with our thoughts. / With our thoughts we make the world.” Dhammapada,
Re: Predict my IM Aus time
Mark.AU wrote:Update;
Susan, the prize includes an invitation to Australia
Cool...there could be a bit of a Hoopla....La and I will be there. Just think Susan...a meeting of the Mark.AU fan club in September 2016...just a thought.
Sure hope your buddy can make it through the run. And sure hope my package gets there...I don't have tracking on it because it was going to be really expensive.
Starting to send awesome vibes (((Mark and Jim)))
Technophobe Extraordinaire
"Princess" J0-JO...The Awesome Running Machine.
"a precious, unique and quirky individual"...definition given by a Toronto Cop
An Ever Loyal and Devoted Official Doonst Fan.
"In the midst of winter, I finally learned that there was in me an invincible summer" -Albert Camus
"Keep Going. Never Give Up." Spencer
"Princess" J0-JO...The Awesome Running Machine.
"a precious, unique and quirky individual"...definition given by a Toronto Cop
An Ever Loyal and Devoted Official Doonst Fan.
"In the midst of winter, I finally learned that there was in me an invincible summer" -Albert Camus
"Keep Going. Never Give Up." Spencer
Re: Predict my IM Aus time
You're a stubborn b@stard, so I don't see you with a DNF, regardless of where your friend is. The only x-factor will be if you and your friend are relatively close and decide to run together, you may have a longer than planned marathon so that you can finish together.
"Maybe I will be my own inspiration." - UltraMonk (Laura)
"Everywhere is walking distance if you have enough time." - Steven Wright
"Everywhere is walking distance if you have enough time." - Steven Wright
- IronGoddess
- Jerome Drayton
- Posts: 4533
- Joined: Fri Feb 29, 2008 1:12 am
- Location: Victoria, B.C.
Re: Predict my IM Aus time
Have fun. I am excited for you and your friend.
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
IMC 2015
Re: Predict my IM Aus time
Race day is forecast to be 24C, cloudy, anything between 60-90% chance of rain and 15km/hr winds. I'll take that, especially if the rain stays away for the middle of the day while we're riding.
My bib is 967, my mate's is 1339.
We are planning to start later in the rolling start so I reckon I'll be in the water at something like 4:45pm EST Saturday - 6:45am Sunday, local.
My bib is 967, my mate's is 1339.
We are planning to start later in the rolling start so I reckon I'll be in the water at something like 4:45pm EST Saturday - 6:45am Sunday, local.
“We are what we think. / All that we are arises with our thoughts. / With our thoughts we make the world.” Dhammapada,
Re: Predict my IM Aus time
As posted in Mark's training thread:
La wrote:Mark.AU wrote:My bib is 967, my mate's is 1339. I'm planning to start later in the rolling start so I reckon I'll be in the water at something like 4:45pm EST Saturday - 6:45am Sunday, local.
Here's the link to the Athlete Tracker for Saturday/Sunday:
http://www.ironman.com/triathlon/covera ... z3YtunmRV2
ETA: Cool that you're racing as a Canadian!
Last edited by La on Sat May 02, 2015 5:36 pm, edited 1 time in total.
"Maybe I will be my own inspiration." - UltraMonk (Laura)
"Everywhere is walking distance if you have enough time." - Steven Wright
"Everywhere is walking distance if you have enough time." - Steven Wright
Re: Predict my IM Aus time
La wrote:As posted in Mark's training thread:La wrote:Mark.AU wrote:My bib is 937, my mate's is 1339. I'm planning to start later in the rolling start so I reckon I'll be in the water at something like 4:45pm EST Saturday - 6:45am Sunday, local.
Here's the link to the Athlete Tracker for Saturday/Sunday:
http://www.ironman.com/triathlon/covera ... z3YtunmRV2
ETA: Cool that you're racing as a Canadian!
Just thought I'd post here as well as his journal that Mark's bib # is 967.
I wonder if one of us oredicits bib 937's time correctly if we win the prize too.
I wanna live like there's no tomorrow
Love, like I'm on borrowed time
It's good to be alive, yeah....Jason Gray
Running is a conversation with your body. Sometimes you listen and sometimes you tell it to stop whining and do something. - Ian
Love, like I'm on borrowed time
It's good to be alive, yeah....Jason Gray
Running is a conversation with your body. Sometimes you listen and sometimes you tell it to stop whining and do something. - Ian
Re: Predict my IM Aus time
Mark is out of the water-1:12:50
James is out 1:05:54 and through transition 1.
James is out 1:05:54 and through transition 1.
I wanna live like there's no tomorrow
Love, like I'm on borrowed time
It's good to be alive, yeah....Jason Gray
Running is a conversation with your body. Sometimes you listen and sometimes you tell it to stop whining and do something. - Ian
Love, like I'm on borrowed time
It's good to be alive, yeah....Jason Gray
Running is a conversation with your body. Sometimes you listen and sometimes you tell it to stop whining and do something. - Ian
Re: Predict my IM Aus time
From Twitter it's saying good condition - little to no wind.
Race Hard. Race Happy.
Re: Predict my IM Aus time
Habs4ever wrote:Mark is out of the water-1:12:50
Though not what he's capable of, pretty good for no training.
"Maybe I will be my own inspiration." - UltraMonk (Laura)
"Everywhere is walking distance if you have enough time." - Steven Wright
"Everywhere is walking distance if you have enough time." - Steven Wright
Re: Predict my IM Aus time
Through T1 in 7:12.
"Maybe I will be my own inspiration." - UltraMonk (Laura)
"Everywhere is walking distance if you have enough time." - Steven Wright
"Everywhere is walking distance if you have enough time." - Steven Wright
Re: Predict my IM Aus time
When Carla did IMWA a few years ago I remember getting up at 5AM Sunday morning to watch her cross the finish line. I like Mark and all, but I won't be doing that this time.
"Maybe I will be my own inspiration." - UltraMonk (Laura)
"Everywhere is walking distance if you have enough time." - Steven Wright
"Everywhere is walking distance if you have enough time." - Steven Wright
Re: Predict my IM Aus time
The Athlete Tracker is predicting a 7:30 bike split. He's through 57K on the bike. Next split is at 90K.
"Maybe I will be my own inspiration." - UltraMonk (Laura)
"Everywhere is walking distance if you have enough time." - Steven Wright
"Everywhere is walking distance if you have enough time." - Steven Wright
- Spirit Unleashed
- Lynn Williams
- Posts: 21772
- Joined: Thu Jun 26, 2008 7:38 am
- Location: The Texas Tropics
Re: Predict my IM Aus time
psa
90km in 4:30 race time.
90km in 4:30 race time.
Athlete....Maniac 973....Marathon Maniac 6645
Live the most amazing life you can live - La
marathon runners are awesomeness personified - Ian
Bucket list: http://www.tassietrailfest.com.au/
http://ultramonk.blogspot.com/
Live the most amazing life you can live - La
marathon runners are awesomeness personified - Ian
Bucket list: http://www.tassietrailfest.com.au/
http://ultramonk.blogspot.com/
Re: Predict my IM Aus time
Made it to 10k on the run but cramping in my neck, back, calves, quads and hamstrings had me to a walk with no real expectation of improvement. It started raining and I got cold; I didn't want to walk for 6hrs to get a medal I really didn't care about.
I'm shattered; the swim was better than expected, the bike also, and I was able to run off the bike. However, there's a reason we train for six months for IM, and that's to build muscular endurance. I didn't have enough and although I'm satisfied that I could certainly have finished on my month's worth of training, it didn't matter enough for me to go through with it.
I'll put more in my journal latter, but for now I'm as wasted as I was when I finished my other IM's, and I need to lie down.
I'm shattered; the swim was better than expected, the bike also, and I was able to run off the bike. However, there's a reason we train for six months for IM, and that's to build muscular endurance. I didn't have enough and although I'm satisfied that I could certainly have finished on my month's worth of training, it didn't matter enough for me to go through with it.
I'll put more in my journal latter, but for now I'm as wasted as I was when I finished my other IM's, and I need to lie down.
“We are what we think. / All that we are arises with our thoughts. / With our thoughts we make the world.” Dhammapada,
- Spirit Unleashed
- Lynn Williams
- Posts: 21772
- Joined: Thu Jun 26, 2008 7:38 am
- Location: The Texas Tropics
Re: Predict my IM Aus time
Mark.AU wrote:Made it to 10k on the run but cramping in my neck, back, calves, quads and hamstrings had me to a walk with no real expectation of improvement. It started raining and I got cold; I didn't want to walk for 6hrs to get a medal I really didn't care about.
I'm shattered; the swim was better than expected, the bike also, and I was able to run off the bike. However, there's a reason we train for six months for IM, and that's to build muscular endurance. I didn't have enough and although I'm satisfied that I could certainly have finished on my month's worth of training, it didn't matter enough for me to go through with it.
I'll put more in my journal latter, but for now I'm as wasted as I was when I finished my other IM's, and I need to lie down.
good job Mark.
Athlete....Maniac 973....Marathon Maniac 6645
Live the most amazing life you can live - La
marathon runners are awesomeness personified - Ian
Bucket list: http://www.tassietrailfest.com.au/
http://ultramonk.blogspot.com/
Live the most amazing life you can live - La
marathon runners are awesomeness personified - Ian
Bucket list: http://www.tassietrailfest.com.au/
http://ultramonk.blogspot.com/
Re: Predict my IM Aus time
Rest up. Sorry that you didn't get a more positive ending to your race.
Colleen
Iron Sherpa Travel - Triathlete and Travel Agent!
Curious what I am up to? https://www.strava.com/athletes/5493183
Iron Sherpa Travel - Triathlete and Travel Agent!
Curious what I am up to? https://www.strava.com/athletes/5493183
Who is online
Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 3 guests